Posts tagged ‘election’

April 24, 2012

MP Bulletin Extra: Predict Obama’s Re-election Odds [Interactive Calculator]

Political scientists at George Washington, Yale and UCLA believe most elections can be predicted with just a few pieces of information. They created a formula that uses economic growth, presidential approval ratings in June and incumbency to forecast President Obama’s share of the two-party vote in the Nov. 6 election.

Click here to access the interactive election calculator…

April 23, 2012

The Daily Scoop: Who’s Mitt beholden to?

Mitt Romney’s contemptuous attitude toward the importance of public disclosure is increasingly troubling. Whether it involves the details of his personal finances or the identity of his big fundraisers, the presumptive Republican is setting a new, low bar for transparency — one that does not augur well for how the Romney White House would conduct itself if he were elected.

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April 20, 2012

The Daily Scoop: The Economy & the Election: How Bad for Obama?

The headline on the lead  story in Thursday’s Times reads: “In Wariness on Economy, Poll  Finds Opening for Romney.” Citing the findings from a Times/CBS News  opinion survey carried out earlier this week, the article went on to say that a  lingering concern among Americans “about their own financial circumstances is  allowing Mitt Romney to persuade voters that he could improve their economic  prospects more than President Obama.”

On the face of it, this is highly encouraging news for the presumptive G.O.P.  nominee. In our straitened times, it is a rarely challenged truism that economic  concerns dominate elections. Now that we are well into the third year of a  recovery, however weak, from a deep recession, the incumbent should be getting  some credit. 

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